Energy is foundational for civilization.
The primacy of human flourishing, globally, is required for all else to succeed.
Rooted in the
physics and economics of energy.
We analyze energy systems as they operate in the real world, combining original research, historical context, and policy recommendations to clarify tradeoffs, constraints, and consequences.
Leading Energy Indicators
Energy Future Forum
The Choices We Face
Footprints & Density
Freedom & Growth
Realism & Facts
Reliability & Security
Media Coverage
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Research
After UAE Departure, What's Next for OPEC?
The news of the United Arab Emirates's (UAE) departure from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) came as a significant surprise to the markets. But to those paying close attention, the move was less unexpected than it appeare
Unreasoned Decisionmaking: Ferc's Ever-Changing Methodology for Estimating the Return On Equity
The financial crisis that began in 2008 led to unprecedented actions by the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) to lower interest rates and stimulate the economy.
After UAE Departure, What's Next for OPEC?
The news of the United Arab Emirates's (UAE) departure from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) came as a significant surprise to the markets. But to those paying close attention, the move was less unexpected than it appeare
The minds shaping the future of American energy policy
Everything you need to know
Questions about our research, data, methodology, and how to work with us.
The Index of Leading Energy Indicators is our unique and eventually interactive tool to help assess the state and future of the nation’s energy supply system. The U.S. Energy Security Index (ESI), the first of four planned components of the Leading Energy Indicators, addresses a critical question: Will current plans for the U.S. energy system improve or degrade national security?
Indexes often act as proxies for measuring the state and direction of change for complex systems influenced by various qualitative and quantitative factors. The gross domestic product (GDP) is one such index used measure a nation’s economic activity. The GDP is neither perfect nor comprehensive yet remains useful—particularly for tracking the direction and rate of changes. Several institutions offer indexes to track leading economic indicators. NCEA is creating a comparable approach for tracking the direction of change in the nation’s energy system.
NCEA offers the first security index that calculates U.S. geopolitical risk levels in both historical and present-day contexts. Future additions to the Leading Energy Indicators will expand to include the three other core features of the U.S. energy system: affordability, reliability, and environmental factors. Our methodology and underlying data are available. We welcome commentary and refinements.
Our scholars regularly speak at conferences, podcasts, and industry events. Use the contact form to submit a speaker request, and our team will connect you with the most relevant expert. Please include your event date, format, and subject matter.
Yes. All NCEA research briefs, reports, and data visualizations are freely available to the public. We believe evidence-based analysis should be accessible to everyone. Premium dashboard features are available for institutional partners.
Our research methodology is peer-reviewed and transparent. All published research undergoes rigorous factchecking. We don't accept funding from political organizations, nor do we engage in lobbying. Our advisory board includes members from across the political spectrum.
Data-drive research, such as our Leading Energy Indicators will be updated as data becomes available. Once released, the Leading Energy Indicators dashboard will update in real-time with data from ISOs, RTOs, and EIA feeds. Research publications follow their own cadence with transparent footnotes to indicate the source data.
Speaker requests, research inquiries, or questions for our scholars — we'd love to hear from you.