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Costs of renewable mandatesGrid reliability
Study

The Crippling Costs of Electrification and Net-Zero Energy Policies in the Pacific Northwest

Electricity Markets
Energy Policy & Regulation
Renewable Energy
Grid Reliability

This report, published by Discovery Institute's Reasonable Energy program and co-authored by NCEA Senior Fellow Jonathan Lesser and Mitchell Rolling, examines the economic consequences of net-zero energy policies in Washington and Oregon.

The study finds that both states' plans to eliminate fossil-fuel energy sources and reach zero energy-related greenhouse gas emissions by 2050 would double existing electricity demand at a projected cost of $549.9 billion — a burden shouldered by Pacific Northwest households and small businesses.

Key findings include:

  • Average household electric bills could increase by 450% by 2050
  • Small business electric bills would rise from roughly $600/month to nearly $4,000/month
  • The resulting global temperature reduction would be less than 0.003 degrees Celsius — too small to measure
  • Meeting the same electricity demand with natural gas and nuclear would cost $85.9 billion — one-sixteenth the cost of an all-renewables approach

The report concludes that both states would be better served by abandoning net-zero mandates and investing in reliable, lower-cost electricity from natural gas and nuclear generation.

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Realism & Facts

Jonathan Lesser, PhD

Some Needed Realism on Wind Power

Such a small change in CO 2 emissions would have no measurable impact on global temperature.

Renewable Energy
Realism & Facts

Neil Atkinson

The Return of Realism in Global Oil Forecasts: A Critique of the International Energy Agency World Energy Outlook 2025

It is impossible to know how the geopolitical landscape will evolve even in the short term, much less by 2050.

Oil & Gas
Energy Policy & Regulation
Realism & Facts

Mark P. Mills

Neil Atkinson

Energy Delusions: Peak Oil Forecasts

Today, with large numbers of gasoline cars still being purchased, only 1% of new EVs are replacing gasoline cars.

Oil & Gas
Energy Markets
Climate Policy
Realism & Facts

Jonathan Lesser, PhD

The Social Cost of Carbon: A Flawed Measure for Energy Policy

However, it should not be used for making energy policy choices.

Climate Policy
Energy Economics
Energy Policy & Regulation