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The Crippling Costs of Electrification and Net-Zero Energy Policies in the Pacific Northwest

Electricity Markets
Energy Policy & Regulation
Renewable Energy
Grid Reliability

This report, published by Discovery Institute's Reasonable Energy program and co-authored by NCEA Senior Fellow Jonathan Lesser and Mitchell Rolling, examines the economic consequences of net-zero energy policies in Washington and Oregon.

The study finds that both states' plans to eliminate fossil-fuel energy sources and reach zero energy-related greenhouse gas emissions by 2050 would double existing electricity demand at a projected cost of $549.9 billion — a burden shouldered by Pacific Northwest households and small businesses.

Key findings include:

  • Average household electric bills could increase by 450% by 2050
  • Small business electric bills would rise from roughly $600/month to nearly $4,000/month
  • The resulting global temperature reduction would be less than 0.003 degrees Celsius — too small to measure
  • Meeting the same electricity demand with natural gas and nuclear would cost $85.9 billion — one-sixteenth the cost of an all-renewables approach

The report concludes that both states would be better served by abandoning net-zero mandates and investing in reliable, lower-cost electricity from natural gas and nuclear generation.

About the author

Jonathan Lesser, PhD

Senior Fellow
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Realism & Facts

Jonathan Lesser, PhD

•

Green Energy Mandates and Electricity Affordability

Energy affordability has become an increasingly important issue, with politicians in both parties demanding lower-cost energy.

Electricity
Electricity Markets
Energy Economics
Renewable Energy
Realism & Facts

Lars Schernikau, PhD

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Can Batteries Help Wind and Solar Provide Continuous Electricity Year-Round?

Are leaders making trillion-dollar energy decisions based on a misunderstanding of what reliable electricity requires?

Electricity
Renewable Energy
Energy Systems
Realism & Facts

Rupert Darwall

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Net Zero and the West’s Holiday from History

For nearly two decades, climate issues dominated the West’s energy policies.

Climate Policy
Energy Geopolitics
Energy Innovation
Energy Infrastructure
Reliability & Security

Matthew McManus

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Parth Sarthi Bajaj

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New Energy Lessons and Realities from the Hormuz Crisis

The initial closure of the Strait of Hormuz in March 2026 was the unlikely scenario most frequently gamed by the world’s energy cognoscenti.

Energy Markets
Energy Policy & Regulation
Oil & Gas